Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.181224 0.207214 0.236253 0.271221 0.312339 0.359335 0.417379
2025-12-07 0.138251 0.171850 0.213239 0.268476 0.341019 0.434096 0.564265
2025-12-14 0.114891 0.151620 0.200181 0.270143 0.370111 0.510546 0.727721
2025-12-21 0.098669 0.136416 0.189174 0.269981 0.393681 0.581109 0.897027
2025-12-28 0.088565 0.127421 0.184398 0.276479 0.426366 0.669629 1.113833
2026-01-04 0.080043 0.119159 0.178940 0.280201 0.454273 0.754891 1.345912
2026-01-11 0.073183 0.112307 0.174355 0.284030 0.482259 0.845021 1.610164
2026-01-18 0.068166 0.107604 0.172356 0.291514 0.517479 0.954967 1.944290
2026-01-25 0.062832 0.101660 0.167376 0.292708 0.540844 1.046519 2.266251
2026-02-01 0.058035 0.096026 0.162138 0.292449 0.561016 1.135466 2.609685
2026-02-08 0.053479 0.090288 0.155972 0.289384 0.574693 1.213077 2.950320
2026-02-15 0.049396 0.084956 0.149898 0.285543 0.585879 1.287288 3.307210
2026-02-22 0.047060 0.082642 0.149344 0.293162 0.624542 1.437915 3.942170
2026-03-01 0.043553 0.077793 0.143371 0.288527 0.634295 1.519351 4.405121
2026-03-08 0.041070 0.074656 0.140426 0.290050 0.659154 1.647108 5.074476
2026-03-15 0.038664 0.071433 0.136937 0.289823 0.679627 1.768384 5.779421
2026-03-22 0.037148 0.069829 0.136617 0.296870 0.720401 1.960164 6.845519
2026-03-29 0.035495 0.067788 0.135134 0.300911 0.753981 2.140268 7.968021
2026-04-05 0.033986 0.065903 0.133780 0.305070 0.788852 2.335549 9.275939
2026-04-12 0.032885 0.064776 0.133983 0.313203 0.837134 2.592067 11.041744
2026-04-19 0.031381 0.062647 0.131686 0.314500 0.865214 2.787023 12.642768
2026-04-26 0.029890 0.060421 0.128937 0.314218 0.888458 2.972572 14.337631
2026-05-03 0.028324 0.057901 0.125256 0.310888 0.901330 3.123098 15.955066